Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Gulfstream Caryovers for Wednesday

Gulfstream Park will have a carryover of $339,873.99 on its Rainbow 6 when it resumes racing on Wednesday.

First post is 12:35 p.m. for a ten-race card.  The Rainbow 6 begins on the fifth race.

The first race will have a carryover of $7,734.24 on the Super Hi-5. It is a $1 minimum bet that requires picking the first five finishers in correct order, with no consolation payoffs.

There is a carryover because on Sunday there were no Super Hi-5 winners on any of the last three races that had seven or more starters and thus offered it.

On Sunday, there were 29 tickets with the winners of all six Rainbow 6 races. Each of those tickets received $2,713.28 on a 20-cent bet.

The carryover going into Wednesday was $306,710. Bettors added $138,208 to the Rainbow 6 pool.

Gulfstream pays out the Rainbow 6 jackpot (carryover plus 80 percent of the day’s bet) only on days when there is just one ticket with the winners of all six races.

Sunday was the tenth straight day when there were multiple tickets with all six winners, thus continuing the carryover.

On days with multiple winning tickets Gulfstream takes out the 20 percent. It then divides 56 percent among tickets with the most winners (in Sunday’s case six) and puts 24 percent into the carryover.

The Rainbow 6 is a 20-cent per combination-only bet. Multiple horses can be used in each race, thus setting up a ticket with multiple 20 cent combinations.  For example, a ticket with two horses in each race has 64 combinations and costs $12.80.

Sunday, January 29, 2017

Rainbow 6 Pool Grows By $138,208

Bettors added $138,208 to the Rainbow 6 pool at Gulfstream.

The carryover coming in was $306,710.  The  takeout on today's bet is 20 percent.  So, if there is a  single ticket winner it would take down about $420,000.

Rainbow 6 Opener Won By 56-1 Shot

Bombs Away in the Rainbow 6 in the slop at Gulfstream.

Springdetti, at 56-1, won the Rainbow 6 to kick off the sequence. 
There are still  ten minutes to get in on the Late Pick 5.

Races eight, nine and  ten have been taken off the turf and each race has just five entrants.

Rainbow 6 Coming Up at Gulfstream

The seventh race is coming up at Gulfstream
to start the Rainbow 6.

The carryover is up to $306,710. Races 9, 10 and 11 have been taken off turf and moved to the main track that is listed as sloppy.

A list of the scratches may be found on this link http://www.equibase.com/static/entry/RaceCardIndexGP012917USA-EQB.html
on the Equibase Web site. 

Tampa Bay Off the Turf

At Tampa Bay Downs races 3, 5, 7 and 9 have been taken off turf and moved to the main track listed as good.

Scratches may be found on this linkhttp://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechangesTAM-USA.html 
on the Equibase Web site. 

Main Track Sloppy at Gulfstream

The main track has been downgraded  to sloppy at Gulfstream.

Races 5, 6, 9, 10 and 11 have been taken off the turf.  

We will list scratches in one post prior to the fifth race.

The surface switch changes the complexion of the  Rainbow 6. It begins on the seventh race and as a $306,710 carryover.

Rainy at Gulfstream

Light rain is  falling at Gulfstream as frst post approaches.

The second race is off the turf. But the course is listed as firm, apparently in anticipation that the rain will let up.

The main track is sealed and listed as fast,

We will keep you posted  of any changes.
--Jim Freer

Gulfstream Sets Single-Day Handle Record

Gulfstream Park had all-sources handle of $40,217,924 on Saturday, setting its all-time daily record for handle other than on three days when it held the Breeders' Cup.

The Saturday handle was fueled by betting on the $12 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational (Grade 1), which was the last race on the 12-race card.

Gulfstream's previous non-Breeders' Cup record was $32,082,270 set on April 2, 2016 when it had 14 races including the Florida Derby.

Gulfstream’s record for all-sources handle (total handle) was $100,336,232 set Nov. 6, 1999 for eight Breeders’ Cup races.
--Jim Freer and Barry Unterbrink


Saturday, January 28, 2017

Arrogate Wins the Pegasus

Arrogate took command coming out of the turn and powered away to win Saturday's $12 million Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream Park.

The order of finish was:
1 -- Arrogate  (1)
2 -- Shaman Ghost (7)
3 --  Neolithic (3)
4 --  Keen Ice (9)
5 -- War Story (5)

California Chrome finished ninth.

A huge Handle Day

With the  Pegasus coming up, Gulfstream appears headed for a handle day in the $30 million to $35 million range.

The crowd appears larger than any day except for the Florida Derby.

We will have results immediately after the race, and handle data this evening.
--Jim Freer

Our Picks for the Pegasus

Here are the HorseRacingFLA staff picks for Win, Place, Show for the $12 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational (Grade 1).

It is the 12th  race at Gulfstream, with scheduled post of 5:40 p.m.-- 1 1/8 miles on dirt

Jim Freer

1 -- Arrogate -- Should take the lead heading to  the far turn, and this time California Chrome will have to catch him.  That is a hard task for Chrome in post 12. Many times I  have seen  the difficulty for outside horses in dealing with the run of just about 100 yards to the start of the first turn.

12 -- California Chrome -- If he runs his race, he will at least finish second. In any case he should be outside, where he likes to be, on the backstrech.

3 -- Keen Ice -- In third race of a cycle in which he closed to finish third in the Breeders' Cup Classic

and second in the Harlan's Holiday.  He should be able to beat all  but the Big 2 today.

Barry Unterbrink

1 -- California Chrome -- If he he gets a clean break, he can be out of traffic on the backstretch with a clear run the rest of the way. He will close his legendary career with a victory.

2 --  Keen Ice -- Ready  for a big effort, and the logical winner if both Arrogate and California Chrome falter.

3 -- Arrogate -- The rail post could prove difficult if he does not get a  good start--the mirror image of the concern about California Chrome.

Monique Welch

1. Arrogate -- number one simply for his speed and class.

2. California Chrome -- He has experience winning a lot of the right races at the right times, and rises up to the challenge.  

3 Shaman Ghost -- Hehas great potential and seems in great condition after having several strong bullet workouts.

Bob Bauer

#1 ARROGATE- Hard to go past this one in here. He owns the two best (huge) recent speed figures in this race and should take some beating for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. He is 2 for 2 when breaking from post #1 and has shown that he can win without an early lead and run by horses as he did in the Breeders Cup Classic. It appears that there will be several with early lick fighting for the lead, it will be up to Smith to get position going into the first turn and not get caught in a suicidal early pace.

#12 CALIFORNIA CHROME- A champion in his own right, he had rung up a half-dozen stakes scores in a row before losing to Arrogate in the Breeder’s Cup Classic. The six-year-old chestnut has a tough assignment, drawing post 12 with speed to his inside and a short run to the clubhouse turn. He is a multiple Grade 1 winner, if able to pull this one off it will be because of his class. Art Sherman gives Victor Espinoza a leg up one more time.

#7 SHAMAN GHOST- May be sitting on a big race for Jimmy Jerkins.  This stout closer likes to run fresh and he now comes off a 63 day break and shows 5 good workouts. He took Saratoga’s Grade 1 Woodard at 9 to 1 last September after a similar freshening and will benefit if there is a pace melt down.

Hot and Heavy Beats Favorite Musical America in 9th

The ninth feature race for one mile on the turf everyone believed the favorite Musical America led by Daniel Centeno would have sweeper this one, but Hot and Heavy had something else in mind. 

Hot and Heavy set the pace with an early lead  after the first turn leaving competitors a few lengths behind. Musical America came fighting from behind after a slightly steadied start. Then, advanced on the turn, and drew clear very gamely along the last stretch, but ran out of time to capture the leader. He came close but finished 3/4 lengths behind Hot and Heavy and 3 lengths ahead of Up Your Cash, the third place finisher. 

He clocked in at 1:36.18 for the win and the total Win Place Show pool came to $203,852.  The charts are as follows:

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 9        video replay

Pegasus Odds and Earnings

Total career earnings of the field in today's Pegasus  race is $27.4 million, with California Chrome being the heavy-weight  with $14.5 million.

If you were to avoid the horses in this race with the lowest career earnings, they would be:

# 3 Neolithic,  $110,000        ML 30:1
# 8 Semper Fortis, $180,000  ML 50:1
#11 Eragon, $250,000            ML  50:1

# 5 War Story, $560,000        ML 50:1
#10 Breaking Lucky, $612,000   ML 25:1

These runners did not surpass the $1 million earnings mark, and also have long-odds in the morning line as noted above. 

Fashion Runaway Easily Breaks Maiden Special Weight

The sixth race at Tampa Bay for bettors may have been a hard one given all the horses were newcomers, but Fashion Runaway, ridden by Willie Martinez, the only horse with a class rating was the winner with an unbothered victory in 1:18.88.

The 3-year old filly from the barn of Altair Farms and trained by William B. Bradley took over in this race and completely dominated over the favorite Gulf View ridden by leading jockey Daniel Centeno by 6 1/2 lengths. This horse could have had an advantage having raced three times already in its career, three times more than its opponents, but today made it his first win. 

No one in this race were close. Gulf View, the second place finisher advanced on the turn, but did not have enough to catch the leader.  He was 4 3/4 lengths ahead of Gray Nicole. Gray Nicole had a good start but weakened finishing in third place.

This race was for 6 1/2 furlongs on the dirt and had a total purses o $22,500. The total Win Place Show pool came to $172,966 and the charts are as follows:
Tampa Bay Downs - Race 6        video replay

Pretty Perfection Wins Ladies Turf Sprint

The shippers from Tampa Bay Downs finished second, third and fourth in the Gulfstream Fillies and Mares Turf Sprint.

Pretty Perfection, at 13-1, rallied  to win the five-furlong stakes for fillies and mares 4-YO and up f.

The Tampa trio of Triple Chelsea, Everything Lovely and Nite Delite finished second, third and fourth respectively.

We will have a recap of Saturday's undercard stakes on our website on Sunday

Tampa Shippers Worth a Look in Ladies' Turf SprintE

Tampa Shippers Worth a Look in Ladies' Turf Sprint

The top three finishers in  the Dec. 17 Lightning City are in the upcoming Ladies' Turf  Sprint at Gulfstream.

They are the closer Triple Chelsea, speedy Nite Delite and Everything Lovely.

All have a chance for the exacta in the nine-horse field.   Triple Chelsea is our pick to win.
--Jim Freer

Single Broad Finds Inner Strength in 3rd Race

The third race went to jockey, Jose Ferrer and trainer, Timothy J. Kelly with 4-year old filly Single Broad with the two length victory over Persnickity

This was an allowance optional claiming race for $16,000 and a total purse of $22,500.  This 7 furlong length race went off at 1:29 and Moonshine Promise won the start but later on weakened leaving the battle between Single Broad and Persnickity

Persnickity dueled inside and was very gamely, but got beat towards the late post. Single Broad advanced well on the turn, close well outside and won going away on the outside in the last furlong.  Single Broad won with a clocked in finish of 1:25.20. The total Win Place Show total came to $156,793 and the charts are as follows below:

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 3        video replay

Imperative Edges Stanford in PoseidonIm

Imperative beat the favored Stanford by a nose in the fifth at Gulfstream, the $400,000 Poseidon.'

The race was in a sense a junior varsity version of the upcoming Pegasus. Both are 1 1/8 miles on dirt.

In an upcoming Pegasus preview, we'll take a closer look at the Poseidon.

In the Hurricane Bertie (Grade 3) third race, the 4-5 favorite Curlin's Approval beat Genre by 2 1/2 lengths.

Curlin's Approval,a 4-year-old  filly won the seven-furlong dirt race in 1:23.23.  Luis Saez rode the winner for trainer Marty Wolfson and owner Happy Alter.

3  $3.60    $2.40   $2.10
1               $2.80  $2.60
2.                          $5.20

Female Jockey Shannon Uske Takes 1st Race at TBD

We are on site this cloudy breezy day at Tampa Bay Downs and the first race is in the books. 

It is a high off 56 degrees today, a slight wind, but still a packed house for racing.  The track is listed as fast and the turf is firm. The first race was a claiming race, a price of $6,250, for fillies and mares four years old and up.  It was a distance of 7 furlongs on the field, and a purse of $12,700.

The favorite was Candy War, the 5-year old mare from the barn of Justin Johns, but Extreme Excess stole the spotlight with a 1:26.71 finish.  Extreme Excess was ridden to victory by female jockey, Shannon Uske, whom seemed underestimated, and is trained by Dennis Ward.  

For a majority of the race the battle was between the favorite Candy War, High Heel Lady, and Scarlett Del until the end, when Extreme Excess rallied three wide, then drew clear to kick away for the strong lead leaving no time for Candy War to catch up. Extreme Excess won 2 1/4 lengths ahead of the favorite. Behind Candy War for third place was Prime Mistress whom was outrun early, and in fourth was High Heel Lady, whom weakened.

Extreme Excess was claimed by new owner Paula D. Martinez and new trainer Michael D. Wells. The total Win Place Show was $84,773. 

Stay tuned or more update throughout the day. 

Gulfstream: Easy in, So FarAA

At least for us, arriving at 11:30 was smooth at Gulfstream.

Lines were not long in parking, and still are not long for security at the entrances Gulfstream put up for one day.

Third race, Hurricane Bertie, is coming up.

Pegasus Day: On site and Blogging

After eight months of preparations and ballyhoo, Pegasus day is here at Gulfstream Park.

We are writing at 8:30 a.m., prior to heading to Gulfstream in Hallandale Beach. Via this blog we will be  covering the $12 million Pegasus World Cup (Grade 1), the day’s other races and the scene at Gulfstream.

The forecast high is 70 degrees, and there is no chance of rain. Conditions will be fast and firm for the 12-race card that has first post at 11:30 a.m.

The Pegasus is the 12th race with scheduled post of 5:40 p.m.
--Jim Freer

Tampa: Three-YO Turf Race Tops Saturday Card; Pegasus on Simulcast

Monique Welch

Tampa Bay Downs has a ten-race card on Saturday with the first post at 12:25 p.m.

The first race is seven furlongs on the dirt, and is for fillies and mares four-years-old and upward. The purse is $12,700 and the claiming price is $6,250.

Morning-line odds favor Candy War at 2-1.  The Michigan-bred mare is owned by Justin Johns. Ronald Allen Jr. will ride the five-year old.

The featured ninth race is one mile on turf for three-year-olds and has a scheduled post time of 4:25 p.m. It is an optional claiming race for $75,000, and has a total purse of $22,500.   

Tampa Bay Downs also will simulcast Saturday’s 12-race Gulfstream Park card, including the inaugural $12 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational (Grade 1).

First post at Gulfstream is 11:30 a.m. The Pegasus is the 12th race with scheduled post of 5:40 p.m.

In the Tampa feature keep an eye on Musical America, My Bariley, Kit Check and Hot and Heavy.

Musical America is the morning-line favorite at 2-1. This Kentucky-bred colt is ranked first in the Brisnet Prime Power, and won his last race at Tampa Bay Downs on Dec. 16. under the guidance of jockey Daniel Centeno and trainer Arnaud Delacour.

During the last 60 days they have teamed for 22 races, with a 27pecent win percentage and a 68 percent in the money percentage.

At Tampa Bay this season, Centeno is at 32 percent in wins and Delacour has a 24 percentage in wins.  Experience may be on Musical America’s side.

Kit Check is up next with odds at 4-1. This horse has a tendency to fight back from behind and then up the momentum towards the late post. Chris Block trains him and Ronald Allen Jr will ride him.

My Bariley is another strong horse that picks up its speed later in the race. Trainer Anthony Granitz’s horse is ranked second in the prime power and has had his best racing so far at Tampa Bay Downs.

He came in second by a neck on Jan. 4 and won his last race before that on Dec. 16 by two lengths.

In the last race, Edwin Gonzalez and the gelding let the lead slip away, but still beat third place finisher Hot and Heavy by 5 ¾ lengths.

Although Hot and Heavy only has one win this season, this horse is well acquainted with the turf and that could be an advantage.  This horse has the potential to redeem himself, but must bring top speed to do so.

Hot and Heavy is trained by Anthony Pecoraro and will be ridden by Erick Rodriguez.
We will be on site for Saturday’s racing. So please stay updated through our blog and our website for coverage throughout the day and this weekend.
--Monique Welch