Monday, September 14, 2020

Our Last Race Handicapping Returns Thursday

Thursday will be the fourth day of our new feature "Gettin' Out Alive," in which HRFLA editor Jim Freer handicaps the day's last race at Gulfstream Park.

Our goal is to provide some added advice for you on a race that usually is a claimer with a large and hard to fathom field.

If you have been knocked out of the Rainbow 6 and/or Late Pick 5, hitting the exacta or better on the last race can give your ego and wallet a boost at the end of the day.

Thus far we have bet $75 of our mental bets bankroll, with a total return of $61.80.

Thursday's ninth and final race is a $12,500 maiden  claimer with a $19,000 purse for fillies and mares 3-YO and up. It is five furlongs, and scheduled for turf.

We will post our suggested bets around 12:00 p.m. Thursday, after track conditions and scratches are out.

There are twelve entrants, and that is the maximum field size.

One horse to strongly consider for  the exacta and trifecta is Our Little Devil, a 3-YO daughter of Daredevil.  That horse also is the sire of Shedaresthedevil and of Swiss Skydiver--the winner and second place finisher in the Kentucky Oaks (Grade 1) on Sept. 4.

Our Little Devil has two second place finishes and one third place finish in eight career starts. Past performances indicate she has the best early speed in the race.

She has the 12 post. But races like this often have several scratches, and that would leave her not too far outside and away from early traffic.  Anthony Burgos has the mount for trainer William Deaton.

Sunday's Result

Sunday's tenth and final race was a $12,500 maiden claimer for 3-YO and up. It was one mile and moved to a dried out dirt track that was listed as Fast.

Our mental bets totaled $33, and we got $21.90 back.

We hit one of our exacta boxes with the winner Alejandro's Team, the 8-5 favorite, on top of 9-1 shot Imperial Greatness. Cuy, our WPS bet, finished third.

The race finished a card when most winning times were mediocre, even on a day laden with claiming races and a track that was far from asphalt-like fast.

But these numbers stick out. Alejandro's Team won in a pedestrian-like 1:39.14, and he beat Imperial Greatness by 15 1/2 lengths.

In future handicapping, we suggest considering that when you see a horse with a running line from the maiden claiming race won by Alejandro's Team.






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