Saturday, November 2, 2019

Breeders' Cup Classic Selections, and Analysis



HorseRacingFLA Staff

Post time is 8:44 p/m. Eastern (5:44 p.m. Pacific) for today's $6 million Breeders' Cup Classic at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia. Calif.

The race is 1 1/4 miles on dirt for 3-year-olds and up and will be part of a live  telecast by NBC's over-the-air stations.



Here are the post positions with trainers, jockeys and morning line odds--followed by our suggested bets.

1. Math Wizard-- S. Joseph Jr, R. Santana  30-1
2.Seeking the Soul-B. Hernandez. D. Stewart 20-1
3.Owendale--B. Cos, J. Castellano 15-1
4. War of Will--M. Casse, T. Gaffalione  20-1 .
5. Yoshida--B . Mott, M. Smith 8-1
6. Elate--B. Mott. J/Ortiz  6-1
7/Hogher Power--F. Prat, J. Sadler  6-1
8. McKinzie--B, Baffert, J. Rosario    3-1
9.Mongolian Groom--E, Ganpath, E. Cedillo 12-1
10/ Vino Rosso--T. Pletcher, I. Ortiz  Jr.  4-1
11. Code of Honor--S. McGaughey, J. Vrlazquez 4-1

Suggested Bets:
* $3 Win and Show  6
*$3 Win and Show   8
$3 Win and Show    11      $18

$1 exacta  box    6  7   8  10      $12
$1 exacta  part wheel
first    6   8
second  2  5   6  8  11              $10

$50 cent trifecta  part wheel
first   6  8
second 2  6  8   10
third     2    5  6   7   8  10  11    $15

Total   $55

6 --  Elate  has won at  1 1/4 miles  three times and has beaten the boys.  Mott trainee has been working well, and we look for her to get  a  good trip..

8 -- McKinzie, trained by   Baffert,  has been ultra-consistent on both coasts.  

10 -- Vino  Rosso won  this year's Gold Cup at  Santa Anita, and comes west  again for Pletcher.

7 --  Higher Power won the Pacific  Classic  at Del Mar and is  on upswing for Sadler, who trained last year's BC Classic winner  Accelerate.

11  -- Code of Honor, trained by McGaughey, is this season's best  3-YO and has a win at  1 1/4 miles in Travers.

2 --  Seeking the Soul is coming off two  down efforts, but before that had  Grade 1  breakthrough  win in Stephen Foster  at  Churchill.  Trainer Dallas Stewart has a knack  for hitting the board with longshots  in big races.
 


Rainbow 6 Opening Leg Won by 9-2 Shot

King Guillermo (7), at 9-2, shot out to the lead and went on to win by eight lengths in Saturday's fifth race at the  Gulfsstream Park West meet.

The race was the start of the Rainbow 6. with a  carryover coming in of $461,894.  Bettors added $153,276 to the Rainbow 6 pool.

The day's two feature races are coming up,  both at one mile on the turf course that is listed as Firm.

*The  7th race is the $75,000 Cellars Shiraz for 3-year-old fillies.

*The 9th race is the $75,000 Showing Up for 3-year-old males.

G.P. West Saturday; 12:30 PM Post; Carryovers

Gulfstream Park West (GPW) plans an 10-race card Saturday, first post of 12:30 PM. Last post time is near 5:45 PM.

In Friday's racing action, 9 races were run, with 4 favorites entered the winners circle.  The high odds winner was just 9:1 in the last race, so the payouts were normal for day 21 of the race meet. Handle was a respectable $5.03 million.


The first stakes races this meet will be the Cellars Shiraz in race 7, and the Showing Up Stakes in race 9; both carry $75,000 purses. The Cellars Shiraz (3 y/o fillies) lists 8 entries, with Red Rounder at a 5:2 ML favorite, and the Showing up (3 y/o) lists 11 entries with Scraps the favorite at 9:5.


Here are the payoffs on Friday's results:

Late Pick 4, $308.10 Late Pick 5, $1,897.70
Late Pick 5 consolation, 4 of 5 paid: $24.35

 

Rainbow 6, $2,416.32 paid to 25 bettors.


The total pool on the Rainbow 6 was $110,127 as betting interests have picked up as the $300,000 and now $400,000 jackpot levels have been surpassed.  Saturday's carryover is $461,894, with the Pick 6 wager starting in race 5 at about 2:40 PM.

The Super Hi-5 wager also carrys over to $1,875. This wager is a $1.00 minimum bet to
correctly pick the first 5 finishers in order. It should occur in race 1 with 11 starters listed for the 7-1/2 furling turf run.


Good Luck!

Friday, November 1, 2019

Santa Anita's Breeders' Cup Notables

There will be  five Breeders' Cup races at Santa Anita Park on Friday--all for 2-year-olds and with 63 entrants including Also Eligibles.

But only two of those horses have raced in Florida.


They are Two Sixty in the $2 million Juvenile Fillies (Grade 1), race 7 at 5:32 pm and Graceful Kitten in the $1 million Juvenile Turf (Grade 1). It goes to post at 4:52 pm in race 6.

They are coming into the Breeders' Cup, in Arcadia, Calif., off gate-to-wire victories in stakes races on Sept. 28 at Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, Fla.

Both will be racing away from Gulfstream's spring-summer meets for the first time, and both will be making their graded stakes debuts.

Thus, in the wagering, they will be dealing with pre-conceived bias from some handicappers.

However, Two Sixty's stakes-record win in the $400,000 My Dear Girl Stakes was so fast  that she has been  attracting some buzz and could go off in the 10-1 range in a nine-horse field.

Graceful Kitten is unbeaten in three starts, including the Armed Forces Stakes on Sept. 28. But he probably will be among the longest shots in the Juvenile Turf's full 14-horse field.

It is not unusual for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile races to have just several  horses that have raced in Flonrida.

A main reason is that many top national trainers, such as Todd Pletcher and Bill Mott, race their top 2-year-olds at tracks in New York and in Kentucky duiring the summer and fall.  In December they bring many of those horses to Florida to race duirng the winter at Gulfstream or at Tampa Bay Downs in Oldsmar.

Finishes in the money, let alone wins,  have been rare for Florida horses in Breeders'  Cup Juvenile races.

A notable exception was in 2010 when Awesome Feather won the Juvenile Fillies at Churcjoll Downs.

Prior to the Breeders' Cup, Awesom,e Feather swept the theee-race fillies division of the Florida Sire Stakes, then run at  Calder in Miami GHardens. Those races are restricted to Florida-breds who are sons or daughters of Florida-registered stallions whose owners have nominated them for the progrsam.

Awesome Feather was owned by Fred and Jane Brei's Jacks or Better Farm in Ocala. She was trained by Stan Gold and ridden by Jeffrey Sanchez.

The five Breeders' Cup races are part of a ten-race card at Santa Anita. Gulfstream and Tampa Bay Downs will have simulcast wagerig on the full card. The five Brereders' Cup races will betelevised live on the NBC Sports cable channel.

Two Sixty's name stems from his purchasse price of $260,000.

Gary Barbrer paid that amount for him at the March, 2019 sale at the Ocala Breeders.