Incredible Cut, at 21-1, rallied on the outside and beat the 3-5 favorite Knock Em Out Roy in he seventh race at Tampa Bay on Friday.
Knock Em Out Roy has been on our Horses to Watch list.
The race was an $8.000 maiden claimer at seven furlongs for 3-year-olds and up.
Incredible Cut won in 1:27.02 with Samy Camacho riding for trainer Juan Gotera.
Friday, May 5, 2017
Horse to Watch --Knock Em Out Roy in 7th at Tampa Bay
Knock Em Out Roy, on of our handicapper Bob Bauer's recent "Horses to Watch", is in the seventh race today at Tampa Bay Downs.
Scheduled post is at 4:06 p.m. The race is an $8,000 maiden claimer for 3-YOs and and up at 7 furlongs on dirt.
Knock Em Out Roy is dropping from a $16.000 maiden claimer at Tampa on April 2. He finished fourth in that race after a stumble at the start.
Edwin Gonzalez has the return mount for trainer Gerald Bennett.
All of the other horses are at least 20-1.
For an exacta box we suggest Knock Em Out Roy (5) with the well-bred Country Warrior (7) and class dropping Judge Hudson (8).
Scheduled post is at 4:06 p.m. The race is an $8,000 maiden claimer for 3-YOs and and up at 7 furlongs on dirt.
Knock Em Out Roy is dropping from a $16.000 maiden claimer at Tampa on April 2. He finished fourth in that race after a stumble at the start.
Edwin Gonzalez has the return mount for trainer Gerald Bennett.
All of the other horses are at least 20-1.
For an exacta box we suggest Knock Em Out Roy (5) with the well-bred Country Warrior (7) and class dropping Judge Hudson (8).
Bob Bauer's Picks-Kentucky Oaks
Kentucky
Oaks Selections
By Bob Bauer
These
selections were made with the expectation of a fast track.
However, the
Churchill Downs track is sloppy today as rain continues to fall.
A “mud lark”
is included as a fourth selection, as none of the other 3 fillies has
experience over a wet surface.
#4 PARADISE
WOODS- This lightly raced Miss (only 3 starts) certainly appears to be a filly
with a bright future. She ships to Kentucky off a spectacular 11 length rout of
a tough field in the Grade I Santa Anita Oaks, on April 8. That was her first
try against winners and going a route of ground around 2 turns. The speed
figure she earned is several lengths better than the rest in here and makes her
the one to beat. The only question is,
can she run well outside of her home track in California and can she stretch
out another half-furlong? We’ll find out on Friday afternoon. Ace trainer Richard Mandella is one of the
best in the business and her only rider Flavian Plat will be in the irons.
#10 MISS SKY
WARRIOR- Daughter of First Samurai boasts classy credentials, having won 5
straight races (including 4 Graded Stakes) since her only loss in a Maiden bow
last September at Belmont. She is a prefect 2 for 2 at the 9 furlong distance
and should be the one to fear if the top choice isn’t up to the task. Regular
jockey Paco Lopez returns for 25% trainer Kelly Breen. In her last race, (2nd
back after a 3 month break) the Grade II Gazelle Handicap at Aqueduct, they
wired the field by 13 lengths under a hand ride. May be in best form now, has
had a pair of OK works on Churchill dirt.
#13 ABEL
TASMAN- Another California shipper, ran second in the Santa Anita Oaks in her
first try for the always-dangerous (40% 2d start winners) Bob Baffert. The bay
filly has a 3 for 6 lifetime record, including taking the Grade I Starlet
Stakes last December. After that, she was freshened until March and has since
garnered a pair of place finishes vs. Graded Stakes rivals. Mike Smith, one of
racing’s elite jockeys, takes the return call.
#7 FARRELL-
This hard-hitting filly is 5 for 7 lifetime and moves up when the going gets
soggy, taking 2 races in 3 attempts on off tracks. She broke her Maiden
condition in the wet at Churchill, so there should be no problems here. Rider
Channing Hill and Trainer Wayne Catalano bring her back to Louisville after an
impressive (3 for 3) campaign at Fairgrounds this winter, capturing a pair of
Grade II events, the Fairgrounds Oaks and the Rachael Alexandra. A tough
customer in top form.
Eight Belles: Look for Cajun Delta Dawn
The Eight Belles, at seven furlongs on dirt for 3-YO fillies is coming up at Churchill Downs.
We are looking for Cajun Delta Dawn (14) to run a big race, based on her three wins in four starts on off tracks.
We are looking for Cajun Delta Dawn (14) to run a big race, based on her three wins in four starts on off tracks.
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